Indonesia

GDP growth: 6.3%
GDP: $989bn (PPP: $1,216bn)
Inflation: 5.2%
Population: 248.2m
GDP per head: $3,990 (PPP: $4,900)

The second-term coalition government of the president, Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, is not popular, and corruption scandals and infighting are dogging his administration. Nevertheless, its survival is not threatened, and a strong economy will dampen public ire. China will partly displace Western trade partners, but the government will remain true to the country’s non-aligned tradition as it wields increasing influence abroad. Rising domestic consumption will support the economy.

To watch: After Aceh. The terrorist threat from separatist groups in the scattered archipelago will persist, despite the 2005 peace accords with some of the biggest. Sporadic but deadly attacks are likely.