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Should a bank tax be used to limit financial risk?

Jun 4th 2010 by R.A. | The Economist

Several G20 governments are proposing a coordinated bank tax to pay for future bail outs and reduce systemic risk. Is additional taxation of the banking sector a good idea? If so, how should it be done?

Guest contributions: 
14
Takatoshi Ito wrote on Jun 4th 2010, 14:52 GMT

WE HAVE a deposit insurance system for depository institutions (commercial banks). The global financial crisis was caused by investment banks (non-depository institutions) with toxic securities. Bail-out costs were substantial, which was not covered by deposit insurance. That is why the new bank tax is proposed. The tax on asset size would discourage expansion of risky portfolios and, if and when the bail-out is needed, accumulated reserves would be available to pay for its cost. If bank tax rates are uneven across countries, a bank may shift its booking of assets (or even a headquarters) to another country, so international coordination/harmonisation is needed. So it makes sense, doesn't it?

However, we need to step back and reconsider why we needed a bail-out with huge costs.

Laurence Kotlikoff wrote on Jun 4th 2010, 18:40 GMT

WHAT we need is fundamental financial reform, not the window dressing now being enacted. And taxing banks won't end the financial system's interconnected and multifaceted malfeasance. It won't keep banks from producing fraudulent securities under cover of "proprietary information". It won't force financial disclosure and transparency. It won't keep rating companies from selling their opinions. It won't keep politicians from hawking laws. It won't keep boards of directors and top management from colluding to expropriate their shareholders. And it won't keep governments from "guaranteeing" the entire house of cards by pledging to print money, which would culminate in hyperinflation, were push to be shoved.

Hyun Shin wrote on Jun 5th 2010, 15:46 GMT

YES, and it should take the form of a levy on the non-core liabilities of the banking system, such as short-term wholesale funding.

During a credit boom, when bank lending is increasing very rapidly, core funding sources such as retail deposits cannot keep pace with the increased lending so that banks tap additional, non-core funding to finance their new lending. In this way, the stage of the financial cycle is reflected in the composition of bank liabilities. The larger is the stock of non-core liabilities relative to core liabilities, the more vulnerable is the financial system to a sudden de-leveraging episode.

Viral Acharya wrote on Jun 5th 2010, 16:20 GMT

TO THE extent that no current regulation—neither Basel capital requirements nor micro-prudential supervision—addresses systemic risk directly, a bank tax or levy that is tied to each financial firm's systemic risk contribution is a good idea.

Avinash Persaud wrote on Jun 7th 2010, 13:35 GMT

COMPARED to when I first began writing about financial regulation ten years ago, the subject has been transformed from the tediously arcane to the deeply political. What else could come from a situation where previously self-satisfied, highly-paid and lightly taxed bankers are bailed out by governments that are then forced to make public sector workers redundant and to shelve programmes for the less well off—hardly God’s work. It is entirely natural then, that the debates on bank taxes are driven by highly charged political sensitivities and not economic efficiency. But that is why you need a profession of dismal scientists to point this out and to say, for example in this case, that while taxes are part of the solution the proposed taxes do not solve the problem at hand.

Markus Brunnermeier wrote on Jun 7th 2010, 13:43 GMT

A BANK tax could become an important element of the new financial architecture, but it has to be designed the right way. The main purpose of such a tax is not to create revenue to pay for taxpayer funded bail-outs. Rather, the purpose should be to affect the behaviour of banks in order to reduce activities that cause negative spillovers from the financial system to the real economy.

Beatrice Weder wrote on Jun 7th 2010, 14:44 GMT

YES, a properly designed tax on systemic risk can be an effective macroprudential instrument to reduce the probability and costliness of future crises. In addition, such a levy can be used to achieve a bail-in of the private sector during a crisis; it can serve as a tool to fund an effective cross-border resolution mechanism.

The cornerstone of any reform has to be the idea that “being systemically relevant” has to come with a cost, as it is otherwise attractive for financial institutions to choose to be systemically important and enjoy the benefits of implicit government guarantees. Funding cost advantages of too-systemic-to-fail financial institutions are substantial: the value of state guarantees embedded in ratings translates into a funding advantage of 10 to 120 basis points (depending on the individual strength of the institutions). A levy could counteract this subsidy to too-systemic-to-fail institutions.

Viral Acharya wrote on Jun 7th 2010, 16:53 GMT

FIRST, it is natural to be sceptical as to whether systemic risk can be assessed in advance. It is also natural to question any theoretical advance on this front!

Luigi Zingales wrote on Jun 7th 2010, 17:29 GMT

THERE are two types of taxes: necessary evils and good taxes. “Necessary evil” taxes are sources of revenues to finance the state, which are used in spite of their negative incentive effects. For example, by taxing work the income tax induces people to remain unemployed. Good taxes, instead, have positive incentives effect. They can also be used as a source of revenue, but their primary purpose is to correct a distortion present in the marketplace. An energy producer who burns fossil fuel, for instance, does not consider the social cost of the CO2 he releases. A tax equal to the cost that the increased levels of CO2 has on the rest of society will force the producer to factor this cost in his decisions or, in economists’ jargon, to internalise the externality. Regardless of the revenues it generates, this type of tax improves social welfare. These taxes are justified, however, only when there is a “market failure”, i.e. when market prices fail to incorporate part of the costs (or benefits) an activity generates. This concept was first introduced by British economist Arthur Pigou; hence the name of Pigouvian taxes.

Daron Acemoglu wrote on Jun 7th 2010, 19:32 GMT

THERE is now a fairly broad consensus that more needs to be done to shore up the stability of the global financial system. A bank tax is a natural idea in this context. Had it been in place, it would have been, at least partly, effective in the run-up to the current financial crisis. It is also attractive to economists as it is minimally intrusive. Banks and financial institutions would still be free to go about their business, which would include making loans, but they would also be free to create new securities or take positions against changes in the prices of various assets.

I wonder, however, whether we should not also engage in a more radical re-think of what it is that financial institutions are supposed to be doing and how they should be regulated. Imagine that banks have no non-core liabilities (so that they would not in fact pay any bank tax). But the large banks in the United States and Europe would still have a gargantuan deposit base. Would we want them (would we want to allow them) to bet all of these deposits, which happen to be government insured, on the roulette wheel in Las Vegas? I imagine that most people would say no to this. Most people would also not be comfortable if these banks invested all of this money in highly risky assets, for example, selling or buying credit default swaps. Where do we draw the line? I think even asking this question suggests that minimally intrusive regulation just on the liability side may not be enough. Perhaps we should be seriously thinking about regulating the asset side of banks and financial institutions. And if we do so, perhaps the liability side is not as first order as it first appears.

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